Kick-off · শনি ১৫ মে, ০৭:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 36
Manchester United vs Leeds United: Prediction
Manchester United49%Home win
Leeds United49% Home win24% Draw27% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.67 – 1.17
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1513
Recent form
Manchester UnitedLDDDLLeeds UnitedWDLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United2026-10-18
- Manchester United 1–2 Leeds United2026-04-13
- Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United2026-01-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
