Kick-off · শনি ১৩ মার্চ, ০৮:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 29
Manchester United vs Everton: Prediction
Manchester United54%Home win
Everton54% Home win23% Draw23% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.80 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1480
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | -1 | 10 | |
| 2 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Everton 2–2 Manchester United2026-09-06
- Everton 0–1 Manchester United2026-02-23
- Manchester United 0–1 Everton2025-11-24
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.