Kick-off · বৃহস্পতি ৩ ডিসেঃ, ০১:৩০ AM ISTMatchday 13
Manchester City vs Leeds United: Prediction
Manchester City64%Home win
Leeds United64% Home win20% Draw16% Away win
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.07 – 0.95
Team rating (Elo)1642 – 1516
Recent form
Manchester CityWWWWLLeeds UnitedWDLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 0–1 Manchester City2026-02-28
- Manchester City 3–2 Leeds United2025-11-29
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
