Kick-off · রবি ২৩ মে, ০৭:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 37
Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Manchester City63%Home win
Aston Villa63% Home win20% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.06 – 0.95
Team rating (Elo)1645 – 1522
Recent form
Manchester CityWWWWLAston VillaLWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City2026-10-24
- Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa2026-05-24
- Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
