Kick-off · শনি ২৮ নভেঃ, ০৮:০০ PM ISTMatchday 11
Mainz vs Union Berlin: Prediction
Mainz56%Home win
Union Berlin56% Home win22% Draw22% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.01 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1457
Recent form
MainzWLWLLUnion BerlinLLWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Head to head
- Mainz 1–3 Union Berlin2026-05-10
- Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz2026-01-10
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
