Kick-off · শনি ৭ নভেঃ, ০৮:০০ PM ISTMatchday 9
Mainz vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
Mainz56%Away win
Bayern Munich22% Home win22% Draw56% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-2
Expected goals (model)1.20 – 2.01
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1545
Recent form
MainzWWLWLBayern MunichDDWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | +18 | 14 |
| 2 | Mainz | 6 | +5 | 10 |
Head to head
- Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich2026-04-25
- Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz2025-12-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
