Kick-off · বৃহস্পতি ৪ মার্চ, ০১:৩০ AM ISTMatchday 28
Liverpool vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Liverpool52%Home win
Aston Villa52% Home win24% Draw24% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.74 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1556 – 1518
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWAston VillaLWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool2026-05-15
- Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa2025-11-01
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
