Kick-off · শনি ৫ ডিসেঃ, ০৮:০০ PM ISTMatchday 12
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
Freiburg46%Home win
Hoffenheim46% Home win23% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.74 – 1.38
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1515
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +2 | 10 | |
| 2 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg2026-02-14
- Freiburg 1–1 Hoffenheim2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.