FTMatchday 7
Everton vs Chelsea: Prediction
Everton0–2
ChelseaNot enough past results yet.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1502
Recent form
EvertonDDDWDChelseaWLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Everton 3–0 Chelsea2026-03-21
- Chelsea 2–0 Everton2025-12-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
