Kick-off · বৃহস্পতি ৩ ডিসেঃ, ০১:৩০ AM ISTMatchday 13
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Chelsea56%Home win
Crystal Palace56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.85 – 1.06
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1435
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLCrystal PalaceLDWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea2026-01-25
- Chelsea 0–0 Crystal Palace2025-08-17
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
