FTMatchday 6
Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Chelsea5–1
BournemouthNot enough past results yet.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1534
Recent form
ChelseaWWLDLBournemouthLDDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth2025-12-30
- Bournemouth 0–0 Chelsea2025-12-06
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
