Kick-off · শনি ১৭ এপ্রি, ০৭:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 32
Brighton and Hove Albion vs Chelsea: Prediction
Brighton and Hove Albion55%Home win
Chelsea55% Home win23% Draw22% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.83 – 1.07
Team rating (Elo)1565 – 1504
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +16 | 16 | |
| 2 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 4–3 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-08-30
- Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea2026-04-21
- Chelsea 1–3 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.