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Kick-off · রবি ২৯ নভেঃ, ০৫:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 11

Borneo Samarinda vs Persik Kediri: Prediction

Borneo Samarinda
60%Home win
Persik Kediri
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.91 – 0.95
Team rating (Elo)1582 – 1480

Recent form

Borneo SamarindaWLWLW
Persik KediriDWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Persik Kediri7+210
2Borneo Samarinda6-19

Head to head

  • Persik Kediri 0–1 Borneo Samarinda2026-04-29
  • Borneo Samarinda 2–0 Persik Kediri2025-10-18

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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