Kick-off · বুধ ২৩ ডিসেঃ, ০২:০০ PM ISTMatchday 16
Borneo Samarinda vs Arema: Prediction
Borneo Samarinda56%Home win
Arema56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.80 – 1.01
Team rating (Elo)1582 – 1511
Recent form
Borneo SamarindaWLWLWAremaDDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | Borneo Samarinda | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Borneo Samarinda 3–1 Arema2026-02-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
