Kick-off · শুক্র ৩০ এপ্রি, ০২:০০ PM ISTMatchday 28
Bali United vs Arema: Prediction
Bali United53%Home win
Arema53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.72 – 1.06
Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1511
Recent form
Bali UnitedLWLWDAremaDDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 |
| 2 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Arema 3–4 Bali United2026-03-06
- Bali United 1–0 Arema2026-01-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
