Kick-off · সোম ২ নভেঃ, ০১:৩০ AM ISTMatchday 11
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: Prediction
Athletic Bilbao40%Home win
Real Sociedad40% Home win26% Draw34% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.37 – 1.23
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1519
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoDDDLWReal SociedadLWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Real Sociedad2026-02-01
- Real Sociedad 3–2 Athletic Bilbao2025-11-01
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
