Kick-off · রবি ১ নভেঃ, ০১:৩০ AM ISTMatchday 9
Aston Villa vs Fulham: Prediction
Aston Villa51%Home win
Fulham51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1483
Recent form
Aston VillaLWDWWFulhamDDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa2026-04-25
- Aston Villa 3–1 Fulham2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
