FTMatchday 6
Arsenal vs Leeds United: Prediction
Arsenal2–1
Leeds UnitedNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1502
Recent form
ArsenalWWWWLLeeds UnitedWDDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 0–4 Arsenal2026-01-31
- Arsenal 5–0 Leeds United2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
